Americans Want Bill Clinton Helping Them On the Grill for Their BBQ This 4th of July and Think George W. Bush Most Likely to Fall into Pool

    NEW YORK , N.Y. – July 1, 2014 – It’s that time of year: barbeques are lighting up and pool parties are underway as Americans gather to celebrate Independence Day and the founding of the United States. And, combining these two things somewhat, when it comes to which recent President Americans would like to have helping out on the grill, almost three in ten (28%) say they would most want Bill Clinton helping out while just over one in five (22%) would want Ronald Reagan. Smaller numbers of Americans would want Barack Obama (16%), George W. Bush (12%), Jimmy Carter (6%) or George H.W. Bush (3%) helping out on the grill. Over one in ten U.S. adults (12%) are not at all sure.

    These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,241 adults surveyed online between June 11 and 16, 2014.

    Not surprisingly, Republicans and Democrats have different Presidents they would want to have on the grill with them. More than two in five Democrats (43%) would want Bill Clinton while one-third (32%) would want Barack Obama on the grill. For Republicans, more than two in five (45%) would want Ronald Reagan while almost three in ten (28%) say they would want George W. Bush helping on the grill. For Independents, almost three in ten (28%) would want Bill Clinton flipping burgers while one-quarter (25%) would want Ronald Reagan on the grill with them.

    There’s always that guy

    So, the pool party is going on, folks are having a great time, and then it happensÉ someone falls into the pool with their clothes on. And, among the last 6 presidents, three in ten (29%) say George W. Bush is most likely to end up falling in the swimming pool with their clothes on while one in five (19%) say Bill Clinton is most likely. Smaller numbers say Barack Obama (14%), Jimmy Carter (9%), George H.W. Bush (8%) and Ronald Reagan (4%) are most likely. Almost one in five Americans (17%) are not at all sure.

    Again, there are differences depending on partisanship. Among Republicans, three in ten (29%) say Bill Clinton is most likely to end up falling in the pool while one-quarter (25%) say President Obama is. Among Democrats, more than two in five (44%) say George W. Bush is most likely to fall in the pool with his clothes on. For Independents, over one-quarter (27%) say George W. Bush is most likely to fall in the pool while one in five (20%) say it is going to be Bill Clinton.

    Founding fathers in politics today

    July 4th marks the signing of the Declaration of Independence, and among five signatories tested, two rise to the top as which one Americans would most want to have in politics today. Over one-third (35%) would want Thomas Jefferson in politics today while one-third (33%) would want Benjamin Franklin. Smaller numbers say they would want John Adams (8%), John Hancock (3%) and Josiah Bartlett (1%), while one in five (21%) say they are not at all sure.

    Here the differences between Republicans and Democrats aren’t as stark. Two in five Republicans (40%) would want Thomas Jefferson in politics today, while one-third (33%) would want Benjamin Franklin. One-third of Democrats would each want Benjamin Franklin (33%) and Thomas Jefferson (32%) in politics today.

     

     

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    TABLE 1

    PRESIDENT TO GRILL WITH

    If you were having a barbeque for Independence Day, which of these recent presidents would you most want helping out on the grill?

    Base: All adults

    Total

    Gender

    Political Party

    Region

    Male

    Female

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    East

    Midwest

    South

    West

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Bill Clinton

    28

    30

    25

    7

    43

    28

    32

    25

    24

    30

    Ronald Reagan

    22

    24

    21

    45

    3

    25

    19

    24

    22

    23

    Barack Obama

    16

    11

    21

    5

    32

    10

    13

    16

    19

    16

    George W. Bush

    12

    16

    9

    28

    3

    12

    14

    11

    15

    8

    Jimmy Carter

    6

    6

    6

    2

    9

    7

    7

    7

    4

    8

    George H.W. Bush

    3

    3

    4

    7

    1

    3

    2

    3

    5

    2

    Not at all sure

    12

    11

    13

    6

    10

    14

    12

    13

    11

    12

    Note: May not add up to 100% due to rounding

     

    TABLE 2

    PRESIDENT WHO WILL FALL IN POOL

    And, which of these presidents do you think is most likely to end up falling in the swimming pool with their clothes on?

    Base: All adults

    Total

    Political Party

    Generation

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    Millennials (18-36)

    Gen X (37-48)

    Baby Boomers (49-67)

    Matures (68+)

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    George W. Bush

    29

    13

    44

    27

    36

    28

    25

    24

    Bill Clinton

    19

    29

    14

    20

    19

    22

    19

    15

    Barack Obama

    14

    25

    7

    14

    11

    14

    17

    18

    Jimmy Carter

    9

    13

    3

    11

    7

    11

    9

    10

    George H.W. Bush

    8

    5

    11

    7

    8

    8

    8

    5

    Ronald Reagan

    4

    2

    6

    3

    1

    4

    5

    4

    Not at all sure

    17

    14

    16

    18

    18

    13

    17

    23

    Note: May not add up to 100% due to rounding


    TABLE 3

    FOUNDING FATHER IN POLITICS TODAY

    Thinking now of these signers of the Declaration of Independence, which one would you like to have in politics today?

    Base: All adults

    Total

    Political Party

    Generation

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    Millennials (18-36)

    Gen X (37-48)

    Baby Boomers (49-67)

    Matures (68+)

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Thomas Jefferson

    35

    40

    32

    38

    28

    43

    35

    40

    Benjamin Franklin

    33

    33

    33

    33

    36

    25

    34

    32

    John Adams

    8

    11

    6

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    John Hancock

    3

    2

    3

    4

    3

    4

    3

    2

    Josiah Bartlett

    1

    1

     

    1

    1

    1

     

     

    Not at all sure

    21

    14

    26

    17

    24

    19

    20

    19

    Note: May not add up to 100% due to rounding

     

    Methodology

    This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between June 11 and 16, 2014 among 2,241 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

    All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, The Harris Poll avoids the words margin of error as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

    Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Poll surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in our panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

    These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

    The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of The Harris Poll.

    J44479

    Q1225, 1228, 1230

    The Harris Poll #62, June 30, 2014

    By Regina A. Corso, VP, Harris Poll and Public Relations Research