Hillary Clinton Voted Most Likely to be President While Joe Biden Voted Class Clown by Americans

    NEW YORK , N.Y. – August 25, 2014 – As President Obama continues to deal with a number of crises, criticism over his vacation and his job ratings also continue to drift downward. This month, almost one-third of Americans (32%) give the President positive ratings for the overall job he is doing, while almost seven in ten (68%) give him negative ratings. This is down from last month, when 34% gave him positive ratings and 66% gave him negative marks; this is the second time this year (January being the other) that his ratings have been this low.

    These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,537 adults surveyed online between August 13 and 18, 2014.

    After hitting a high mark for the past two years in June with a positive rating of 10%, Congress also drifts downward. Last month 9% of Americans gave them positive ratings and this month 8% do so, while 92% of Americans give them negative marks on the overall job they are doing. Looking at the country as a whole, one-third of Americans (32%) say things are going in the right direction in the country, while almost seven in ten (68%) say things have gotten off on the wrong track. Last month, three in ten (31%) said things were going in the right direction, while seven in ten (69%) said things were going off on the wrong track.

    If Washington was like a high school yearbook

    As kids around the country go back to school, it is interesting to look at some visible politicians in Washington and around the country and harken back to those high school yearbook lists. There was that one person who was class clown and another who was voted most likely to be President. Well, when given a list of 12 politicians, here is how Americans would vote (top two for each category shown):

     

    • Class Clown: Joe Biden (21%) and Chris Christie (14%)
    • Most Likely to Succeed: Hillary Clinton (15%) and Chris Christie/Rand Paul/Elizabeth Warren (7%)
    • Teacher’s Pet: Joe Biden/Nancy Pelosi/Hillary Clinton (9%) and Harry Reid (7%)
    • Best Hair: Marco Rubio/Elizabeth Warren (8%) and Nancy Pelosi (7%)
    • Most Likely to be President: Hillary Clinton (34%) and Chris Christie/Marco Rubio (6%)
    • Most Annoying: Nancy Pelosi (19%) and John Boehner (11%)
    • Most Popular: Hillary Clinton (13%) and Chris Christie (9%)

     

    Presidents as High School Teachers

    While many U.S. Presidents taught law and at the college level, John Adams, Millard Fillmore, James Garfield and Chester Arthur taught at the primary and secondary levels as well. So, what if recent U.S. Presidents were high school teachers? Are there ones people wish they could have had as a teacher and ones they never would have wanted to have? Over one-third of Americans (37%) say they wish they could have had Ronald Reagan as a teacher, while one-quarter (26%) wish they could have had Bill Clinton. Just over one in ten wish they could have had Barack Obama (13%) and Jimmy Carter (12%), while under one in ten wish they could have had George H.W. Bush (6%) and George W. Bush (5%).

    On the other side, two in five Americans (40%) say they would never want to have had Barack Obama as a teacher, while three in ten (30%) say they same about George W. Bush. One in ten (10%) say they would not have wanted to have George H.W. Bush as a teacher, while less than one in ten say that about Ronald Reagan (7%), Jimmy Carter (7%) and Bill Clinton (6%).

     

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    TABLE 1

    PRESIDENT OBAMA’S JOB RATING – TREND

    How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?

    Base: All adults

     

    TREND

    Positive

    Negative

    %

    %

    2014

    August

    32

    68

     

    July

    34

    66

    June

    38

    62

    May

    38

    62

    April

    33

    67

    March

    35

    65

    February

    35

    65

    January

    32

    68

    2013

    December

    34

    66

     

    November

    32

    68

    October

    35

    65

    September

    34

    66

    July

    39

    61

    June

    41

    59

    March

    38

    62

    2012

    December

    45

    55

    September

    41

    59

    April

    41

    59

    March

    40

    60

    January

    36

    64

    2011

    December

    36

    64

     

    November

    34

    66

    October

    33

    67

    September

    32

    68

    July

    38

    62

    May

    46

    54

    April

    38

    62

    March

    39

    61

    Feb.

    42

    58

    Jan.

    44

    56

    2010

    Dec.

    36

    64

     

    Nov.

    38

    62

    Oct.

    37

    63

    Sept.

    38

    62

    Aug.

    40

    60

    June

    39

    61

    May

    42

    58

    March

    41

    59

    Jan.

    40

    60

    2009

    Dec.

    41

    59

     

    Nov.

    43

    57

    Oct.

    45

    55

    Sept.

    49

    51

    Aug.

    51

    49

    June

    54

    46

    May

    59

    41

    April

    58

    42

    March

    55

    45

    Positive = excellent or pretty good. Negative = only fair or poor.

     

    TABLE 2

    PRESIDENT OBAMA’S JOB RATING – BY PARTY & IDEOLOGY

    How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?

    Base: All adults

     

    Total

    Political Party

    Political Ideology

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    Cons.

    Mod.

    Lib.

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    POSITIVE

    32

    6

    60

    23

    11

    30

    64

    Excellent

    6

     

    12

    3

    1

    4

    14

    Pretty good

    26

    5

    48

    20

    10

    26

    50

    NEGATIVE

    68

    94

    40

    77

    89

    70

    36

    Only fair

    30

    22

    30

    36

    20

    37

    28

    Poor

    38

    72

    9

    41

    69

    33

    8

    Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

     

    TABLE 3

    CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATING

    How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?

    Base: All adults

     

    Total

    Political Party

    Political Ideology

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    Cons.

    Mod.

    Lib.

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    POSITIVE

    8

    5

    9

    7

    6

    7

    12

    Excellent

    1

    1

    2

    1

    1

    1

    2

    Pretty good

    6

    4

    7

    7

    5

    6

    10

    NEGATIVE

    92

    95

    91

    93

    94

    93

    88

    Only fair

    33

    37

    35

    24

    33

    34

    28

    Poor

    60

    58

    56

    69

    61

    59

    61

    Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding


    TABLE 4

    CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND

    How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?

    Base: All adults

     

    TREND

    Positive

    Negative

    %

    %

    2014

    August

    8

    92

     

    July

    9

    91

    June

    10

    90

    May

    7

    93

    April

    7

    93

    March

    8

    92

    February

    8

    92

    January

    6

    94

    2013

    December

    5

    95

     

    November

    7

    93

    October

    4

    96

    September

    7

    93

    July

    9

    91

    June

    9

    91

    March

    6

    94

    2012

    December

    8

    92

    April

    11

    89

    March

    9

    91

    January

    6

    94

    2011

    December

    5

    95

     

    July

    8

    92

    May

    13

    87

    January

    16

    84

    2010

    December

    11

    89

     

    June

    14

    86

    March

    10

    90

    Jan.

    16

    84

    2009

    Dec.

    17

    83

     

    Oct.

    16

    84

    June

    25

    75

    March

    29

    71

    2008

    October

    10

    86

     

    August

    18

    77

    June

    13

    83

    February

    20

    76

    2007

    December

    17

    79

     

    October

    20

    77

    April

    27

    69

    February

    33

    62

    2006

    September

    24

    73

     

    May

    18

    80

    February

    25

    71

    January

    25

    72

    Positive = excellent or pretty good. Negative = only fair or poor.

     

    TABLE 5

    RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK – TREND

    Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?

    Base: All adults

     

    TREND

    Right Direction

    Wrong Track

    %

    %

    2014

    August

    32

    68

     

    July

    31

    69

    June

    33

    67

    May

    35

    65

    April

    34

    66

    March

    34

    66

    February

    34

    66

    January

    31

    69

    2013

    December

    33

    67

     

    November

    30

    70

    October

    20

    80

    September

    29

    71

    July

    34

    66

    May

    39

    61

    2012

    March

    34

    66

     

    January

    27

    73

    2011

    August

    16

    84

     

    May

    39

    61

    2010

    December

    29

    71

     

    April

    39

    61

    2009

    August

    46

    54

     

    January

    19

    72

    2008

    October

    11

    83

     

    February

    23

    69

    2007

    December

    18

    74

     

    February

    29

    62

    2006

    May

    24

    69

     

    February

    32

    59

    2005

    November

    27

    68

     

    January

    46

    48

    2004

    September

    38

    57

     

    June

    35

    59

    2003

    December

    35

    57

     

    June

    44

    51

    2002

    December

    36

    57

     

    June

    46

    48

    2001

    December

    65

    32

     

    June

    43

    52

    2000

    October

    50

    41

     

    June

    40

    51

    1999

    June

    37

    55

     

    March

    47

    45

    1998

    December

    43

    51

     

    June

    48

    44

    1997

    December

    39

    56

     

    April

    36

    55

    1996

    December

    38

    50

     

    June

    29

    64

    1995

    December

    26

    62

     

    June

    24

    65

    1994

    December

    29

    63

     

    June

    28

    65

    1993

    June

    21

    70

     

    March

    39

    50

    1992

    June

    12

    81

     

    January

    20

    75

    1991

    December

    17

    75

     

    January

    58

    32

     

    TABLE 6

    MOST LIKELY TO…

    Thinking now of the following political figures, if this was like high school and people were chosen as certain things, which politician would be what? Please select one response per column

    Base: All adults

     

    Class clown

    Most likely to succeed

    Teacher’s pet

    Best hair

    Most likely to be president

    Most annoying

    Most popular

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Joe Biden

    21

    6

    9

    5

    4

    4

    6

    Chris Christie

    14

    7

    4

    2

    6

    5

    9

    Ted Cruz

    6

    5

    3

    5

    4

    8

    5

    John Boehner

    5

    4

    5

    6

    2

    11

    3

    Nancy Pelosi

    5

    5

    9

    7

    1

    19

    3

    Harry Reid

    4

    3

    7

    2

    1

    6

    3

    Rand Paul

    3

    7

    3

    5

    5

    5

    5

    Mitch McConnell

    3

    2

    4

    2

    1

    5

    2

    Marco Rubio

    3

    6

    4

    8

    6

    3

    7

    Andrew Cuomo

    2

    4

    4

    5

    3

    2

    5

    Hillary Clinton

    2

    15

    9

    4

    34

    7

    13

    Elizabeth Warren

    2

    7

    5

    8

    2

    2

    5

    Not at all sure

    30

    28

    33

    42

    31

    23

    34

    Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

     

    TABLE 7

    TEACHER THEY WISH THEY COULD HAVE HAD

    Still thinking about high school, which of these Presidents do you wish you could have had as a teacher and which one would you never want to have had? Please select one response per column.

    Base: All adults

     

    Total

    Political Party

    Political Ideology

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    Cons.

    Mod.

    Lib.

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Ronald Reagan

    37

    64

    13

    41

    61

    34

    8

    Bill Clinton

    26

    5

    42

    26

    10

    31

    39

    Barack Obama

    13

    1

    27

    9

    3

    12

    30

    Jimmy Carter

    12

    7

    13

    13

    8

    13

    17

    George H.W. Bush

    6

    10

    4

    6

    8

    6

    4

    George W. Bush

    5

    13

    1

    4

    10

    4

    2

    Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

     

    TABLE 8

    TEACHER THEY WOULD NEVER WANT TO HAVE HAD

    Still thinking about high school, which of these Presidents do you wish you could have had as a teacher and which one would you never want to have had? Please select one response per column.

    Base: All adults

     

    Total

    Political Party

    Political Ideology

    Rep.

    Dem.

    Ind.

    Cons.

    Mod.

    Lib.

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    Barack Obama

    40

    76

    12

    41

    70

    35

    9

    George W. Bush

    30

    6

    53

    25

    8

    32

    54

    George H.W. Bush

    10

    2

    15

    13

    4

    12

    16

    Ronald Reagan

    7

    1

    12

    7

    3

    7

    12

    Jimmy Carter

    7

    8

    4

    8

    7

    8

    5

    Bill Clinton

    6

    8

    4

    6

    8

    6

    3

    Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

    Methodology

    This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between August 13 and 18, 2014 among 2,537 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

    All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, The Harris Poll avoids the words margin of error as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

    Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Poll surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in our panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

    These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

    The results of this Harris Poll may not be used in advertising, marketing or promotion without the prior written permission of The Harris Poll.

    The Harris Poll #80, August 25, 2014

    By Regina A. Corso, VP, The Harris Poll and Public Relations Research